Download the latest WAVES.FOREX.271009

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WAVES.FOREX is a perspective product published TUE and THU. The report highlights the top traded FOREX PAIRS (e.g. Euro, Dollar, Yen, Indian Rupee, Romanian Lei, Swiss Franc and Dollar Index) The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools and sentiment indicators. REUTER RICS: EURRON=, RON=, JPY=, INR=, HUF=, HRK=, GBP=, EURCHF=, CHFRON=, CAD=, =USD, EUR=

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA

Author: Orpheus | Date: 26 October 2009 | Comments (0)

Categories: Anticipated and Happened, Forex

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Mukul is speaking at the Thomson Reuters day in Bucharest on 29 OCT.

Charts that matter

Now that dollar has 14 month of weakness behind it and global equity had a positive year to date performance, the top question for emerging forex traders and money market managers is “What does it mean for emerging market forex and interest rate outlook?” The presentation will look at the year end technical outlook and 2010 perspective on EURRON, RON USD and Romanian interest rates.

The Premium Point Building, 9th Floor
78-80 Buzesti Street,
Bucharest, 011017

Download the PRESENTATION FILE FOREX.MM.291009

Author: Orpheus | Date: 26 October 2009 | Comments (0)

Categories: Conference

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ORPHEUS INDIA RESEARCH

WAVES.IND is a perspective product published on Tuesday and Thursday. The report highlights Indian Stock Market top sectoral Indices and Sensex (BSE 30) viz. BSEOIL, BSESC (Small Cap), BSEMC (Mid Cap), BSEHC (BSE Health Care), BSEPHARMA (Pharmaceuticals), BSECG (Capital Goods), BSEBANK (Banking), CNXIT (Technology), BSEFMCG (FMCG), BSEAUTO (Auto) etc.. The product also covers all the 30 Sensex components. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools, sentiment indicators and other alternative research tools like INTERMARKET to spot outperformers.

COVERAGE: REUTERS RICS. INDICES. .BSEBANK, .BSEOIL, .NSEI, .BSECG, .BSESN, .BSEAUTO, .CNXIT, .NSEBANK, CITc1, IFc1, .NSEBANK

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

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Author: Orpheus | Date: 26 October 2009 | Comments (0)

Tags: waves

Categories: India

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GLOBAL INTERMARKET REVIEW

The small positivity of the economic cycle is a part of the larger commodity up cycle, which threatens to destroy the concept of money beyond 2012.The term Intermarket was coined by John Murphy in 1990. Murphy said that all markets are linked, domestically and globally, no market moves in isolation, analysis of one market should include all the others. A simple look at Reliance and Exxon, Infosys and IBM, Alcoa and Hindalco would prove how it is just the reasons that we see are local, the similarity in the move of three pairs suggest that conclusions are global. You really can’t differentiate one from the other. READ MORE…

TIME ANALYTICS

ALPHA.GLOBAL – DEFENSIVE STROKES

ALPHA.IND – SHORT GRASIM, LONG LNT UP 19% IN 14 DAYS

ALPHA.ROM – VA AVEA SNP PERFORMANTA MAI MARE DECAT RRC?

ALPHA.ROM – WILL SNP OUTPERFORM RRC?

INDIA

WAVES.INDIA – NSEBANK. ANTICIPATED AND HAPPENED

CHANNELS.INDIA – BLUE STAR. ANTICIPATED AND HAPPENED

WAVES.INDIA – PRICES TURN BACK FROM KEY RESISTANCES

CHANNELS.INDIA – ANTICIPATED AND HAPPENED SPECIAL

CHANNELS.INDIA – EARLY ECONOMIC – RETESTING INTERMEDIATE RESISTANCES

ROMANIA

CHANNELS.BVB – SECTORUL INDUSTRIAL- ARTROM DEVINE POZITIVA

CHANNELS.BVB – POZITIVITATEA MINORA A ENERGIEI CONTINUA

CHANNELS.BVB – SECTORUL FINANCIAR/DISCRETIONAR- NEGATIVITATEA MINORA A SIF-URILOR CONTINUA

WAVES.ROM – BETFI. INTERMEDIATE CHANNEL BROKEN

CHANNELS.BVB – MID ECONOMIC – INDUSTRIALS- ARTROM TURNS POSITIVE

WAVES.ROM – 3 YEAR TERM RATES VS. BETFI

CHANNELS.BVB – EARLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

GLOBAL

GLOBAL INTERMARKET REVIEW

WAVES OIL – THE UP MOVE CONTINUES

WAVES.GLOBAL – PRICES ARE TOPPING

NEWS

MTA KNOWLEDGE BASE – DOLLAR, GOLD, OIL

FORUM UPDATES

Author: Mukul PAL | Date: 26 October 2009 | Comments (0)

Categories: The Orpheus Newsletter

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SUMMARY: SIF 1 DAILY (SIF1) Prices are out of the multi month rising channel and in a multiple weeks sideways movement. Minor trend continues to remain negative. SIF2 DAILY (SIF2) Prices are out of the multi month rising channel and in a multiple weeks sideways movement. Minor trend continues to remain negative. SIF3 DAILY (SIF3) Prices are out of the multi month rising channel and in a multiple weeks sideways movement. Minor trend continues to remain negative. SIF4 DAILY (SIF4) Prices are testing the up trended channel line. A sustained breach would be negative for the stock. SIF5 DAILY (SIF5) Prices need to break the key 0.618 Fib level at 1.18 to have a reversal of trend. Minor trend is negative. ERSTE WEEKLY (EBS) Prices broke the key psychological level at 130. For a confirmed trend reversal we need prices to remain inside the channel and above 130. BANCA TRANSILVANIA WEEKLY (TLV) Prices are holding at the channel line. Minor trend is positive. BRD WEEKLY (BRD) Prices are testing the key level at 13. Minor trend is positive. IMPACT WEEKLY (IMP) Weekly moving average crossover is positive. SIRETUL PASCANI WEEKLY (SRT) Key level lies at 0.4.

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CHANNELS.BVB is our second perspective product published on MONDAY, WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY. The report uses conventional technical tools and focuses on stocks more than Indices. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. WAVES.ROM and CHANNELS.ROM are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers just BVB stocks all mid cap and small cap.

CHANNELS.BVB on MONDAY covers the Early Economic Sector cycle including Financials and Discretionary sector stocks.

REUTERS RIC – (BATR.BX, BRDX.BX, BRKU.BX, SIF1.BX, SIF2.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF4.BX, SIF5.BX, BCCA.BX, ASAG.BX, FLAA.BX, EFOR.BX, TUFE.BX, SIPA.BX, ELBU.BX, ERST.BX, IMPT.BX)

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

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Author: Orpheus | Date: 26 October 2009 | Comments (0)

Categories: Romania

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Historically whenever such a question about stock A outperforming stock B has been raised, the holding period or the period of performance takes a back seat. Timing the markets (or in other words performance) is considered a crystal ball. This weeks ALPHA carries answers to the following questions. Will SNP outperform RRC in the next quarter? Will SIF2 keep outperforming SIF5? Is ALRO vs. AZO performance quantifiable? Which is the better pharmaceutical stock to buy now ATB or BIO? Will DAFORA ever underperform? Is TLV recent performance here to stay, can it challenge BRD as a better banking stock? We have also updated ALPHA with the ranking of the BETXT 25. ALRO, BRD continue to be the best and hence overstretched. We would still look at the worst which is TGN, TEL, SCD, ATB, SNP as potential end of the year outperformers.

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ALPHA is a pair trading, long only and short only strategy product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has five pairs now viz. BRD-BET, BETXT-SNP, SIF2-SIF5, BRD-BETXT, BET-SNP. The above tracker will be updated on a daily basis. The freshly opened trades will have the shortest holding periods. The type of trade will be depicted in the degree i.e. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. BRD/BET means LONG BRD, SHORT BET. This also means +A-B. When the pair inverts to BET/BRD, it would mean SHORT BRD, LONG BET meaning -A+B.

LONG ONLY, SHORT ONLY portfolio covers SIF2, SIF5, BRD, ERST, TGN. BET, BETFI, BETNG, BETXT, SNP.

STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 4%

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA

Author: Orpheus | Date: 26 October 2009 | Comments (0)

Categories: Romanian Pairs and Assets

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