WAVES.IND is a perspective product published on Tuesday and Thursday. The report highlights Indian Stock Market top sectoral Indices and Sensex (BSE 30) viz. BSEOIL, BSESC (Small Cap), BSEMC (Mid Cap), BSEHC (BSE Health Care), BSEPHARMA (Pharmaceuticals), BSECG (Capital Goods), BSEBANK (Banking), CNXIT (Technology), BSEFMCG (FMCG), BSEAUTO (Auto) etc.. The product also covers all the 30 Sensex components. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools, sentiment indicators and other alternative research tools like INTERMARKET to spot outperformers.
WAVES.GLOBAL is a perspective product published on Monday. The report highlights top GLOBAL indices and emerging market indices viz. Dow Jones Industrial (.DJI), S&P 500 (.GSPC), German DAX (.GDAXI), Russian IRTS (.IRTS), Shanghai Composite (.SSEC), Nikkei 225 (.N225), Brazil BOVESPA (.BVSP), Indian Sensex (.BSESN). The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools, sentiment indicators and other alternative research tools like INTERMARKET to spot outperformers and market trends.
WAVES.OIL is a perspective product published once a week. The report covers BRENT, WTM, XLE (Energy SPDR), top energy stocks, Natural Gas and related FUTURES. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools and sentiment indicators. REUTERS RICS: BRT-, WTM-, .XLE , CVX.N, XOM.N, IPNG, NG-P-CAL ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA
SUMMARY: SIF1 DAILY Prices are still in the up trended channel, but are testing the lower line of the channel. A turn here would bring positivity further. SIF 2 DAILY Prices are still in the up trended channel, but are testing the lower line of the channel. A turn here would bring positivity further. SIF3 DAILY Daily moving average crossover is positive with prices above it. SIF4 DAILY Daily moving average crossover is positive with prices above it. SIF5 DAILY Prices turned at key level at 1.25 till the lower line of the rising channel. BRD WEEKLY Prices are still in the multi week rising channel. Minor trend remains positive. BROKER WEEKLY Prices are still in the downtrended move. A breach is needed at 0.25 to have positivity.
ERSTE WEEKLY Prices fell from the key level at132 till the lower line of the channel at 125. A breach here would bring in negativity. TLV WEEKLY Prices continue the up move, but form a shooting star candle indicating exhaustion. TURISM FELIX WEEKLY (TUFE) Prices are still in the up trended multi month channel. Below Sub 0.22 we are in negative territory.
CHANNELS.BVB is our second perspective product published on MONDAY, WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY. The report uses conventional technical tools and focuses on stocks more than Indices. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. WAVES.ROM and CHANNELS.ROM are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers just BVB stocks all mid cap and small cap.
CHANNELS.BVB on MONDAY covers the Early Economic Sector cycle including Financials and Discretionary sector stocks. REUTERS RIC – (BATR.BX, BRDX.BX, BRKU.BX, SIF1.BX, SIF2.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF4.BX, SIF5.BX, BCCA.BX, ASAG.BX, FLAA.BX, EFOR.BX, TUFE.BX, SIPA.BX, ELBU.BX, ERST.BX, IMPT.BX)
Performance pair cycles isolates extreme divergences between highly correlated and similar sector peers too. Starting 8 July, Long TCS – Short Nifty strategy returned 60%. Another pair illustrated on ALPHA was Long Nifty – Short Reliance. This pair delivered 14% since 30 Jun. This is 150% and 37% annualized performance respectively for the two pairs. The latest ALPHA.INDIA carries the top performance and pair performance cycles with the latest numeric ranking for stocks and sector Indices. Enjoy the latest ALPHA.INDIA. For a detailed report please visit econohistory.com and for clarifications please mail us.
ALPHA is a pair trading, long only – short only strategy and Numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.
TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has 18 pairs CNXIT-NIFTY, RELIANCE-NIFTY, TCS-NIFTY, ONGC-NIFTY, INFOSYS-CNXIT, ONGC-RELIANCE, HDBK-ICBK, BHEL-ACC, GRAS-LNT, HLL-ITC, SBI-HDFC, NIFTY-STERLITE, NIFTY-HDBK, SBI-NIFTY, BHEL-NIFTY, NIFTY-ACC, TCS-CNXIT and SBI-HDBK. Minor degree averaged 10-30 days and intermediate degree trade averages above 30 days. The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. CNXIT/INFOSYS +A-B means LONG CNXIT, SHORT INFOSYS. While CNXIT/INFOSYS –A+B means SHORT CNXIT, LONG INFOSYS.
LONG ONLY, SHORT ONLY portfolio covers NIFTY, CNXIT, NSEBANK, RELIANCE, INFOSYS, ONGC, CIPLA, ICICI BANK, HDFC BANK, TISCO, BHEL, ACC, GRASIM, L&T, HLL, ITC, SBI, HDFC, STERLITE
STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 4%
*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.
Time is a social construct and we see time through the life and nature around us. Understanding time can not only give a unifying theory to research of a few thousand years, but also help us understand the world we live in. Time evolves, oscillates and continues. Time comes before everything, but we don’t see it. We just feel it. We believe what we see and this is why understanding what we don’t see is a challenge. Understanding time could bring more than a conventional thought down, it’s a revolution, which could rock the very foundation of economic thought or the geometric structures Euclid laid down in 300 BC. We are at the start of the journey, but if time is indeed the real mathematics, we could see high accuracy in time forecasts.
Econohistory is the study of performance cycles between assets. Cycles are the generic name for time fractals. Performance cycles can be studied for any time frame, for as small as a tick data to multiyear time frames. This objective approach to performance cyclicality can explain why intermarket analysis is an area of study? Why bonds and commodities tend to be inversely related? What is the connection of Oil with world markets? Why the world watches DOW sometimes and sometimes a 500 point effect on DOW seems to have no impact? Why correlation between assets moves from near perfect at times to weak correlation at other times? Why the same news has different impact on a stock or market? Why equities and bond trend together and why the relationship decouples sometime? When will inflation become deflation, disinflation, stagflation or hyperinflation? When and why does gold outperform and underperform silver? Econohistory can objectively answer these questions, using performance cycles, time fractals and past data. Economic history is mathematical.
