SUMMARY: IDEA DAILY (IDEA) The corrective structure down seems complete. Above key 55 levels we should get more positive confirmation. BHARTI DAILY (BRTI) Prices bounced back from key FIB supports. The minor trend turned up. Key levels lie at 350. MAHAGANAR DAILY (MTNL) Prices bounced back from key supports near 65 levels. We are not ruling out the possibility that this could be an incomplete minor impulse down. TATA COMMUNICATIONS DAILY (TATA) Prices continue to hold key supports at 350 levels. Above respective levels we consider the corrective structure down complete. ASHOK DAILY (ASOK) Prices seem to be in a corrective FLAT structure which could push lower till key 50-46 before anything. CROMPTON DAILY (CROM) We are not ruling out an extension of the fifth leg up till psychological 500 levels. BLUE STAR DAILY (BLUS) Prices continue to hold neckline supports. TATA MOTORS DAILY (TAMO) Prices are completing the impulsive structure up. Key resistance levels lie at 700-750. LARSEN 60MIN (LART) The current formation looks like a corrective structure up. Key resistances lie at previous highs and key FIB levels at 1,700. BHARAT HEAVY DAILY (BHEL) Prices continue to move in a corrective structure down which could push lower till psychological 2,000 levels.

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CHANNELS.INDIA is our second perspective product published on MONDAY, WEDNESDAY and FRIDAY. The report uses conventional technical tools and covers most top traded stocks. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. WAVES.INDIA, CHANNELS.INDIA are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers the other mid cap and small cap stocks also. CHANNELS.INDIA carries the Early Economic cycle sector components, which includes FINANCIAL and DISCRETIONARY sector stocks, the Mid Economics cycles sector which includes INDUSTRIAL sector stocks and the Late Economic Sector cycle including ENERGY, STAPLES, UTILITIES, PHARMA, CHEMICALS sector stocks. REUTERS EARLY ECONOMIC RICS DLF.NS, HDFC.NS, HDBK.NS, ICBK.NS, SBI.NS, INFY.NS, TCS.NS, MAHM.NS, UNTE.NS, TITN.NS REUTERS MID ECONOMIC RICS ASOK.NS, TAMO.NS, CROM.NS, BHEL.NS, LART.NS, MTNL.NS, IDEA.NS, BRTI.NS, RLCM.NS, TATA.NS REUTERS LATE ECONOMIC RICS ONGC.NS, RLIN.NS, NTPC.NS, ACC.NS, HALC.NS, TISC.NS, ABUJ.NS, CIPL.NS, RANB.NS, ITC.NS

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA

Author: Orpheus | Date: 08 December 2009 | Comments (0)

Tags: channels

Categories: India

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This is the best part of performance cycles, it not only challenges conventional knowledge but also simplifies performance between any two assets, in this case the Polish WIG and Austrian ATX. From 12 Oct – 4 Dec the Polish WIG outperformed Austrian ATX returning 12% over 53 days. Now the polarity has reversed and it’s time for Short WIG – Long ATX. We have illustrated another pair Czech PX – Polish WIG. The latest ALPHA.CEE carries comparative Numeric Ranking for Indices from the CEE (Central and Eastern European) region. The rankings include Indices from Austria, Czech, Poland, Serbia, Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania. Enjoy the latest ALPHA.CEE.

ALPHA is a pair trading, long only – short only strategy and numeric ranking product based on TIME fractals.  Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

CEE REGIONS COVERED: Serbia, Romanian Indices, Bulgaria, Austria, Poland, Czech

*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.

Time is a social construct and we see time through the life and nature around us. Understanding time can not only give a unifying theory to research of a few thousand years, but also help us understand the world we live in. Time evolves, oscillates and continues. Time comes before everything, but we don’t see it. We just feel it. We believe what we see and this is why understanding what we don’t see is a challenge. Understanding time could bring more than a conventional thought down, it’s a revolution, which could rock the very foundation of economic thought or the geometric structures Euclid laid down in 300 BC. We are at the start of the journey, but if time is indeed the real mathematics, we could see high accuracy in time forecasts.

Econohistory is the study of performance cycles between assets. Cycles are the generic name for time fractals. Performance cycles can be studied for any time frame, for as small as a tick data to multiyear time frames. This objective approach to performance cyclicality can explain why intermarket analysis is an area of study? Why bonds and commodities tend to be inversely related? What is the connection of Oil with world markets? Why the world watches DOW sometimes and sometimes a 500 point effect on DOW seems to have no impact? Why correlation between assets moves from near perfect at times to weak correlation at other times? Why the same news has different impact on a stock or market? Why equities and bond trend together and why the relationship decouples sometime? When will inflation become deflation, disinflation, stagflation or hyperinflation? When and why does gold outperform and underperform silver?  Econohistory can objectively answer these questions, using performance cycles, time fractals and past data. Economic history is mathematical.

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ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

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Author: Orpheus | Date: 08 December 2009 | Comments (0)

Categories: Central and East European Region

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Keeping It Simple

Detachment is a spiritual mantra that works well in markets too.

When price movement bothers you while you sleep and causes you dreams of paradise or nightmares, you are suffering from the real capital market crisis. It is easier said, but if you can’t keep cool in markets, you are at the wrong place. Markets need a lot of detachment if you really want something constructive and valuable to come out of the vocation. How can one detach from profits and losses? If you think you are getting complacent, think again and tune up. Read more…

TIME ANALYTICS – ECONOHISTORY

Alpha.Energy – Is 0.9 correlation between Chevron – Brent tradable?
ALPHA.INDIA: Can HDBK – ICBK pair diverge 100%?
ALPHA.ROM: Revisiting BET vs BRD
ALPHA.INDIA – Indian Pairs
ALPHA.ROM – What is better BRD or TLV?

INDIA

WAVES.INDIA – NSEBANK ALTERNATE
CHANNELS.INDIA – NTPC. ANTICIPATED AND HAPPENED
CHANNELS.INDIA – EARLY ECONOMIC MINOR CORRECTIVES
WAVES.INDIA – NO CLEAR SIGN OF AN IMPULSE YET
CHANNELS.INDIA – TELECOMMUNICATIONS REMAIN DOWN
WAVES.INDIA – CNXIT. ANTICIPATED AND HAPPENED
CHANNELS.INDIA – ENERGY SHOWS SIGNS OF NEGATIVITY
CHANNELS.INDIA – EARLY ECONOMIC – ANTICIPATED AND HAPPENED SPECIAL
WAVES.INDIA – PREFERRED CONTINUES TO LOOK LOWER

ROMANIA

Waves.Romania – BETC (3) top is here
Channels.Bvb – Early Economic Update – Moving average special
Channels.BVB – Late Economic Update – Monthly Perspective
WAVES.ROM – Positivity continues
Romanian Sentiment Review – Dubai vs. Bucharest
CHANNELS.BVB – Mid Economic update – Montly Perspectives on Industrials

GLOBAL

Waves.Forex – USD/JPY headed higher
Waves.Forex – CABLE continues to point lower
WAVES.GLOBAL – Nikkei ready to outperform BVSP(Brazil), IRTS (Russia), SSEC (China), Sensex (India)

NEWS

Member’s Post
Integrity Research: The Payment Paradox
National Day of Romania

Author: Orpheus | Date: 08 December 2009 | Comments (0)

Categories: Primers, The Orpheus Newsletter, Time Triads

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WAVES.ROM is a perspective product published on TUESDAY’S and THURSDAY’S. The report highlights Romanian Stock Market top three Equity Indices viz. the top ten blue chip BET Index (.BETI), BET Composite (.BETC), the Financial Index BETFI (.BETFI) and the local currency RON (EURRON=, RON=). The products covers the top ten BET component stocks. (ROMP.BX, SNPP.BX, BATR.BX, BRDX.BX, TSEL.BX, ATBE.BX, BRKU.BX, BIOF.BX, IMPT.BX, TUBU.BX) and all the components of BETFI Financial Index(SIF2.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF1.BX, SIF4.BX) are covered in the report. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools, sentiment indicators and other alternative research tools like INTERMARKET to spot outperformers. WAVES.ROM, CHANNELS.BVB and CHANNELS.RASDAQ are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers all the BVB and RASDAQ stocks.

REUTERS COVERAGE .BETFI, TUBU.BX, TSEL.BX, SNPP.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF4.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF2.BX, SIF1.BX, ROMP.BX, IMPT.BX, BRKU.BX, BRDX.BX, BIOF.BX, BATR.BX, ATBE.BX

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA

Author: Orpheus | Date: 08 December 2009 | Comments (0)

Categories: Romania

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