Archive for January 27th, 2010

Waves.forex – Anticipated eurusd 1,4 break happens

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WAVES.FOREX is a perspective product published TUE and THU. The report highlights the top traded FOREX PAIRS (e.g. Euro, Dollar, Yen, Indian Rupee, Romanian Lei, Swiss Franc and Dollar Index) The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools and sentiment indicators. REUTER RICS: EURRON=, RON=, JPY=, INR=, HUF=, HRK=, GBP=, EURCHF=, CHFRON=, CAD=, =USD, EUR=

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Waves.India – The anticipated breakdown is here

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‘Performance cycles’ is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.

ORPHEUS INDIA RESEARCH

WAVES.IND is a perspective product published on Tuesday and Thursday. The report highlights Indian Stock Market top sectoral Indices and Sensex (BSE 30) viz. BSEOIL, BSESC (Small Cap), BSEMC (Mid Cap), BSEHC (BSE Health Care), BSEPHARMA (Pharmaceuticals), BSECG (Capital Goods), BSEBANK (Banking), CNXIT (Technology), BSEFMCG (FMCG), BSEAUTO (Auto) etc.. The product also covers all the 30 Sensex components. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools, sentiment indicators and other alternative research tools like INTERMARKET to spot outperformers.

COVERAGE: REUTERS RICS. INDICES. .BSEBANK, .BSEOIL, .NSEI, .BSECG, .BSESN, .BSEAUTO, .CNXIT, .NSEBANK, CITc1, IFc1, .NSEBANK

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The Orpheus Newsletter – 27 JAN 2010

Numeric rankings suggest it is time to reduce small cap, mid caps and technology.
The 4 Jan yearly outlook carried numeric ranking for 50 Nifty Stocks. The histogram ranked real price performances, pushing the performers to the top and underperformers to the bottom. Sun Pharmaceutical was the top performer, Grasim was the worst and the three technology majors viz. Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys and Wipro were at rank number 6, 7 and 10 respectively. What did the rankings tell us? First; Sun Pharmaceutical being at the top already delivered. And since performance is cyclical, the top performer can’t remain at top for long and will underperform. Second; Grasim was reeling at the bottom of performance in the Nifty 50. A similar logic of performance can now be extended to the loser. The worst stock cannot remain at the bottom of performance rankings. It is lonely down there. If a stock cannot make an attempt to push up from its worst performance, it has no business being in the index. Third: Since technology leads markets and is a well traded sector, 6, 7 and 10 rankings for the technology trio suggested further space up on relative performance against the Nifty…Read more…

TIME ANALYTICS – ECONOHISTORY
Alpha.Global.Indices (Alpha.Romania) – Profiting from DOW futures
Alpha.metals – Palladium tops and silver bottoms
Alpha.India – Banking joins tech to lead the way down
Alpha.Romania – BRD delivers 32% against BETXT and BET
Alpha.Metals – Long Palladium, Short Gold up 79% since July 09
Alpha India revisited

INDIA
Channels.India – Anticipated and happened
Channels.India – Early economic anticipated and happened cases
Channels.India – Late economic anticipated and happened cases
Channels.India – Mid economic anticipated and happened cases
Waves.India does it again, delivers 79% accuracy
Waves.India – Intermediate and minor perspective
Channels.India – IT completing minor impulses
Channels.India – Late economic performance cycles

ROMANIA
Channels.BVB – Mid Economic Update – Japanese Candlesticks
Waves.ROM – BETC. Negative reversal and no price confirmation keeps us looking higher.
Channels.BVB – Early Economic Update – Financials Japanese Candlesticks
Channels.BVB – Late economic patterns
Waves.Romania – TEL anticipated and happened and Erste target
Romania – Channels.BVB – COMI Anticipated and Happened
Waves.Romania – BRD anticipated and happened
Channels.BVB – Early Economic Update – Elliott Waves
Channels.BVB – Late Economic Update – Momentum Special

GLOBAL
Waves.bonds – Bobl futures final wave up
Waves.forex – EURUSD 1.4 heading for a break
Waves.Gold – Anticipated and happened
Waves.Forex – EURUSD target hit (Anticipated and happened)
Waves.forex – Eurusd, Indian Rupee, Lei and Yen corrections or impulses?
Waves.gold – Uranium leadership suggests gold negativity

NEWS
Mukul receives Chartered Market Technician Charter
Time Cycles, Gann suggest – Peak is here
Romania – SIBEX to list Dow Futures
Happy Republic Day
Volatility and sleeping markets
Dow – Volatility Cycles
Volatility Index (India) breaks Mar 08 Low

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Waves.bonds – Bobl futures final wave up


Orpheus Global Research

WAVES.BONDS is a perspective product published once a month. The report covers American, European and emerging market bond markets. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools and sentiment indicators.

Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.

Reuters Coverage 2YT Note , 30Y T Bond, 10YTNote, Euro Schatz, Euro Bund, Euro Bobl

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Channels.BVB – Mid Economic Update – Japanese Candlesticks

Japanese Candlesticks. SUMMARY: COMPA DAILY (CMP) Till prices move clearly above resistance at 0,35, we continue to look current formation as an ongoing counter trend a-b-c that started in May 09. Performance cycles continue to suggest topping activity on CMP. The stock should underperform BETXT. VAE APCAROM QUARTERLY (APOM) Moving average crossover is negative as prices reverse. Minor trend remains negative. ALTUR WEEKLY (ALT) The ongoing formation is a corrective counter trend that should resolve higher. ELECTROPUTERE DAILY (EPT) Only above 0.2 we will establish higher targets. SANTIERUL NAVAL WEEKLY (SNO) Previous resistance becomes support. Minor trend remains positive. CONDMAG DAILY (COMI) Prices make a five wave impulse and are topping. Performance cycle suggests topping. COMI should underperform BETXT. SOCEP INVERTED WEEKLY (SOCEP) Prices move in a sideways actions. Above 0.17 we continue to look higher. ELECTROCONTACT WEEKLY (ETC) After moving in a sideways action prices broke above 0.035. Above these level we remain positive.

CHANNELS.BVB is our second perspective product published on MONDAY, WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY. The report uses conventional technical tools and focuses on stocks more than Indices. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. WAVES.ROM and CHANNELS.ROM are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers just BVB stocks all mid cap and small cap.

CHANNELS.BVB on WEDNESDAY covers the Mid Economic Sector cycle including INDUSTRIALS sector stocks.
REUTERS RIC – (TUBU.BX, SOCC.BX, ARTM.BX, ARSB.BX, SNOS.BX, ALTC.BX, ARMA.BX, CMLF.BX, MEFI.BX, EPUT.BX, ETAC.BX, UAMT.BX, COMPA.BX, APOM.BX, MECF.BX, COMI.BX)

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Time Cycles, Gann suggest – Peak is here

The recent fall in Sensex carry some very important messages. A very important Gann angle – 45 degrees is decisively broken. As per Gann a break in this angle can result in some serious correction ahead! Trend line from March lows connecting December low broken. RSI moved below 50 levels. Time cycles suggest an ideal time for a peak to occur. Prices will no longer be right translated and is subtly shifting to left translation indicating some serious fall very soon. We mentioned in our previous blog that a move up cannot be ruled out but it was with extreme caution as multiple wave counts of ending diagonal were possible, but it did indicate we were in final of the final waves with a top very soon. Ending diagonal is probably complete. Next 2 days are key to confirm intermediate negativity.

Ashish Kyal
Contributing Member
elliottwaveindia


Channels.India – Anticipated and happened

SUMMARY: BLUE STAR DAILY (BLUS) Anticipated and happened Prices turn back from key resistances near previous high levels. Moving average crossover is ready to turn negative. MAHANAGAR DAILY (MTNL) Anticipated and happened Prices turn back from anticipated resistances at key 95 levels. We continue to look lower from respective levels. TATA MOTORS DAILY (TAMO) Anticipated and happened Prices continue to push lower after completing the impulsive structure up. Next supports lie at key 735 levels. ASHOK DAILY (ASOK) Anticipated and happened Prices continue to push lower from previous high levels. Moving average crossover is still positive. LARSEN DAILY (LART) Anticipated and happened Prices continued to push lower in the c/iii wave down as anticipated. Key supports lie at 1,400 levels.

To access member’s area or Orpheus estore click here.

‘Performance cycles’ is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.

CHANNELS.INDIA is our second perspective product published on MONDAY, WEDNESDAY and FRIDAY. The report uses conventional technical tools and covers most top traded stocks. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. WAVES.INDIA, CHANNELS.INDIA are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers the other mid cap and small cap stocks also. CHANNELS.INDIA carries the Early Economic cycle sector components, which includes FINANCIAL and DISCRETIONARY sector stocks, the Mid Economics cycles sector which includes INDUSTRIAL sector stocks and the Late Economic Sector cycle including ENERGY, STAPLES, UTILITIES, PHARMA, CHEMICALS sector stocks. REUTERS EARLY ECONOMIC RICS DLF.NS, HDFC.NS, HDBK.NS, ICBK.NS, SBI.NS, INFY.NS, TCS.NS, MAHM.NS, UNTE.NS, TITN.NS REUTERS MID ECONOMIC RICS ASOK.NS, TAMO.NS, CROM.NS, BHEL.NS, LART.NS, MTNL.NS, IDEA.NS, BRTI.NS, RLCM.NS, TATA.NS REUTERS LATE ECONOMIC RICS ONGC.NS, RLIN.NS, NTPC.NS, ACC.NS, HALC.NS, TISC.NS, ABUJ.NS, CIPL.NS, RANB.NS, ITC.NS

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