The sugar decay

Shorting sugar really or metaphorically is possible and healthy.

My wife kept us off excess sugar. We stopped ‘juicing’ (drinking sweetened beverages) a few years back, stopped putting loads of sugar tea spoons in our regular cup of coffee or tea and learnt to share a chocolate bar in a week. Can you believe that? Well I could not till I leashed my urge for sweet things. Coming from Delhi, it was harder for me, it still is, I am trying. She also taught me the 80-20 principle of food. You have to control 80% of time what you eat and 20% of the time is when one can indulge with food. I have a confession. I indulged last night and almost elbowed an 8 year old digging into a large bowl of ice-cream….Read more…

TIME ANALYTICS – ECONOHISTORY
The budget strategy (India)
Alpha.India – How to trade Nifty?
Alpha.metals – Long performance silver signals begin
Alpha India – Reading the signals
Alpha.Romania – Impact delivers 69% against BETXT
Alpha.global.Indices – Short Hong Kong, long Dow delivers 17%
Alpha.Energy – Nobel (6.5%), Gazprom(17%), Anadarko (16%) outperform Brent
Alpha.India – Long Maruti, short M&M delivers 15%
Alpha.metals – What is with Nickel?
Alpha.Romania – TEL outperforms BETXT by 17%
Introducing Alpha Agro – Short Sweet, Long Corn
Alpha India – Performance Tracker

INDIA
Channels.India – Late economic performance cycles
Waves.India – Performance cycles are in sync with our preferred view
Channels.India – Anticipated and happened cases
Waves.India – Completing the second corrective wave up
Channels.India – DLF. Anticipated and happened
Channels.India – Late economic corrective structures
Waves.India – The anticipated subminor bounceback happened
Channels.India – Tata Motors. Anticipated and happened
Waves.India – Nsebank Preferred and Alternate
Channels.India – Early economic still points lower
Waves.India – The anticipated downmove continues

ROMANIA
Channels.Bvb – Late Econimic Update – Japanese Candlestick
Waves.Rom – Transelectrica. Above 15 we continue to look higher till 20.
Waves.Rom – TGN. Corrective structures that should resolve higher. (Happens)
Channels.BVB – Early Economic Update – Japanese Candlesticks
Channels.BVB – Late Economic Update – Patterns
Waves.Rom – BETNG. Retesting previous highs.
Channels.BVB – Mid Economic Update
Waves.Rom – Transgaz – Anticipated and happened
Channels.BVB – Early Economic Update
Channels.BVB – Late Economic Update – Momentum
Waves.ROM – Transelectrica – Anticipated and happened

GLOBAL
Waves.Forex – EUR/USD: Below 1.35 prices could have a free fall till 1.25
Waves.Oil – The C wave down begins
Waves.Forex – EURRON -Prices are in an ongoing minor sideways triangle.
Waves.gold – Completing corrective X
Waves.oil – Energy complex gets ready for a C leg down
Waves.Forex – EUR/USD: Below 1.35 prices could have a free fall till 1.25
Waves.Global – Dow. Preferred view continues to point lower
Waves.Agro – Wheat at lows
Waves.forex – Danish Krone non confirmations
WAVES.Forex – INRJPY continues to point lower
Waves.global – Dow begins the iii of 3

NEWS
Member’s post – Nifty Vix
Member’s post – DLF (India)
Bill Meridian on DOW, GOLD and OIL
Investment Psychology
Emirates Yield Curve
The Emirate Gold
Member’s Post – Dollar Index and NR
What’s with Zurich SMI?
Orpheus Interviews Experts
Research is king
“We humans co-evolve with our tools. We change the tools, and the tools change us, and that cycle repeats.” Jeff Bezos
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Author: Orpheus | Date: 26 February 2010 | Comments (0)

Categories: The Orpheus Newsletter

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CHANNELS.BVB is our second perspective product published on MONDAY, WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY. The report uses conventional technical tools and focuses on stocks more than Indices. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. WAVES.ROM and CHANNELS.ROM are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers just BVB stocks all mid cap and small cap.

CHANNELS.BVB on FRIDAY covers the Late Economic Sector cycle including Energy, Staples, Pharma, Utilities and Chemicals sector stocks.
REUTERS RIC – (SNPP.BX, ROMP.BX, OILT.BX, PTRI.BX, PEXI.BX, ENPL.BX, TSEL.BX, MOPN.BX, BERS.BX, ALUM.BX, OLTC.BX, ALRO.BX, OTSP.BX, AMSL.BX, AZOM.BX, VNCA.BX, PPLS.BX, MJMR.BX, SIZA.BX, CBCM.BX, ZIMC.BX, PCLR.BX, ATBE.BX, SCDB.BX, BIOF.BX, DAFR.BRQ)

Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.

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Author: Orpheus | Date: 26 February 2010 | Comments (0)

Categories: Romania

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Attached is the chart of India Vix which clearly shows that rise in volatility from the bottom around 20 levels till 32 is clearly a five wave advanced. And recent drop in Volatility is the expanded flat a-b-c, which is wave 2 or wave B, which is the current state of the market showing narrow trading range and dull price movement. But the principle of volatility says contraction in volatility is generally followed by the expansion in volatility. Same way once the wave B (or Wave 2) of Vix completes then wave C (or wave 3) should resume which is likely to target 43.

Vishvesh

Author: Orpheus | Date: 26 February 2010 | Comments (1)

Categories: News, Reader's contributions, Volatility

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