Archive for June 4th, 2010

The dollar underperformance

Since 16 Mar, the dollar index – LERO (EURUSD) pair registered a gain of 24%. The other running pair long dollar index – short GBP is also up 14%. Another historical case witnessed dollar index outperforming Japanese Yen for 13% since 25 Feb. Performance cycles have turned lower and suggest a close on the respective pairs. This means a reversal in performance for dollar index. The dollar index should underperform now all of GBP, EUR, Yen. The latest Alpha Forex carries the numeric ranking, numeric ranking changes, running pair signals, strategy update and performance cycles.

Numeric Ranking

Strategy Update

Performance Cycles

ALPHA is a pair trading, long only – short only strategy and numeric ranking product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Assets Covered : Assets Covered : 1: SNOK.L (Short Norwegian Krone) 2: GCZ0 (Gold) 3: DDSH0 (Silver) 4. BRT- (Brent) 5: SSEK.L (Short Swedish Krona) 6: LAUD.L (Long Australian Dollar) 7: LCAD.L (Long Canadian Dollar) 8: LGBP.L (long British Pound Index) 9: LJPY.L (Long Japanese Yen) 10: LNZD.L (Long New Zealand Dollar) 11: =USD (Dollar Index)

*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.

To login to the member’s area or access Orpheus estore click here.

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA

ALPHA is a pair trading, long only – short only strategy and numeric ranking product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Assets Covered : Assets Covered : 1: SNOK.L (Short Norwegian Krone) 2: GCZ0 (Gold) 3: DDSH0 (Silver) 4. BRT- (Brent) 5: SSEK.L (Short Swedish Krona) 6: LAUD.L (Long Australian Dollar) 7: LCAD.L (Long Canadian Dollar) 8: LGBP.L (long British Pound Index) 9: LJPY.L (Long Japanese Yen) 10: LNZD.L (Long New Zealand Dollar) 11: =USD (Dollar Index)

*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.

<a href=”http://www.orpheus.asia/orpheus/login.php”>To login to the member’s area or access Orpheus estore click here.</a>

<a href=”https://commerce.uk.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902″>ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM</a>

<a href=”https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902″>ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA</a>

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Member's post – Sugar to go up

I am an ardent follower and admirer of Orpheus Research. I was checking the $DJASB (DJ Sugar Index) and noticed a possibly 2 year double bottom on sugar ETF index. This is could be largely positive for stock. I noticed that the top of index (Dec 09) odd and is similar for Sugar stocks. Plus all sugar stocks have been badly beaten down, something like either wave a or wave i of a larger degree down wave. Seems, that these stocks are poised for bounce, which can be fast. Just as an example attached Bajaj Hind Chart and similarly, the chart of Balrampur chini has the same story.

Let me know, your thoughts on the same.

Regards,
Vivek Marne

The Sugar decay


Waves.Forex – INRUSD ready to dip


Jyoti Nangrani, CMT (Chartered Market Technician) from the Market Technicians Association. She has 5 years of experience in Technical Analysis covering Equity and Commodity markets. She holds a Masters diploma in E-Business and is currently pursuing the MS Finance from ICFAI, Hyderabad. She is a Technical Analyst at Finquest Securities Pvt Ltd on the Institutional Desk. She worked as a part of the core strategy team at Tower Capital devising CRM and MIS systems for Debt/Equity and Commodity divisions. She is passionate about Technical Analysis and considers it an extremely valuable skill in current times. Jyoti will be covering Forex in her weekly columns.

Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.

WAVES.FOREX is a perspective product published TUE and THU. The report highlights the top traded FOREX PAIRS (e.g. Euro, Dollar, Yen, Indian Rupee, Romanian Lei, Swiss Franc and Dollar Index) The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools and sentiment indicators. REUTER RICS: EURRON=, RON=, JPY=, INR=, HUF=, HRK=, GBP=, EURCHF=, CHFRON=, CAD=, =USD, EUR=

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ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA


Jyoti Nangrani

Jyoti Nangrani, CMT (Chartered Market Technician) from the Market Technicians Association. She has 5 years of experience in Technical Analysis covering Equity and Commodity markets. She holds a Masters diploma in E-Business and is currently pursuing the MS Finance from ICFAI, Hyderabad. She is a Senior Technical Analyst at Aditya Birla Money covering Indian Equity Markets. She worked as a part of the core strategy team at Tower Capital devising CRM and MIS systems for Debt/Equity and Commodity divisions. She is passionate about Technical Analysis and considers it an extremely valuable skill in current times. Jyoti will be covering Forex in her weekly columns.

Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.

REUTER RICS: EURRON=, RON=, JPY=, INR=, HUF=, HRK=, GBP=, EURCHF=, CHFRON=, CAD=, =USD, EUR=


Channels.India – Late economic performance cycles

Sterlite Daily. We expect at least another retest of psychological 600 levels in order to complete the 3/C wave down. Hindalco Performance cycles continue to point lower. ITC DAILY The Y wave up could extend higher till psychological 300 levels. Performance cycles continue to push higher towards a performance top.

CHANNELS.INDIA is our second perspective product published on MONDAY, WEDNESDAY and FRIDAY. The report uses conventional technical tools and covers most top traded stocks. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. WAVES.INDIA, CHANNELS.INDIA are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers the other mid cap and small cap stocks also.

CHANNELS.INDIA carries the Early Economic cycle sector components, which includes FINANCIAL and DISCRETIONARY sector stocks, the Mid Economics cycles sector which includes INDUSTRIAL sector stocks and the Late Economic Sector cycle including ENERGY, STAPLES, UTILITIES, PHARMA, CHEMICALS sector stocks. REUTERS EARLY ECONOMIC RICS DLF.NS, HDFC.NS, HDBK.NS, ICBK.NS, SBI.NS, INFY.NS, TCS.NS, MAHM.NS, UNTE.NS, TITN.NS

REUTERS MID ECONOMIC RICS ASOK.NS, TAMO.NS, CROM.NS, BHEL.NS, LART.NS, MTNL.NS, IDEA.NS, BRTI.NS, RLCM.NS, TATA.NS REUTERS LATE ECONOMIC RICS ONGC.NS, RLIN.NS, NTPC.NS, ACC.NS, HALC.NS, TISC.NS, ABUJ.NS, CIPL.NS, RANB.NS, ITC.NS

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ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM

ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA