Archive for August 3rd, 2011

NIFTY alternate

NIFTY Daily. Alternate. The alternate view suggests an ongoing corrective Y wave down till previous lows at 5,200 levels or even lower.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices. Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


Bovespa anticipated and happened

BVSP.DAILY WATCH FOR A COUNTERTREND RALLY TO 65,300 ANTICIPATED ALPHA.GLOBAL.INDICES.290611. Has been revolving around our initial targets at 62,500 for a while now and subdivision (ii) of circle iii could trigger a rally to 65,300. But after that wave circle iii should resume the decline towards our second target at 57,700. The condition: the current rally should not reach 66,400 (otherwise the bearish count is jeopardized).

BVSP.DAILY HAPPENED. Just reached the anticipated 57,700 target and should continue the decline over the intermediate term.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives long only, short only, pair trading signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are carried over minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days) time frame. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Naked and/or pair strategies are not riskless strategies. Time arbitrage portfolio legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the Orpheus Research products.

Coverage Global: Dow 30 components, Global Indices, ETF SPDRS, Commodities

Dan-Andrei Rusu graduated in 2005 the Faculty of Economics Cluj-Napoca, “Dimitrie Cantemir” University. In the same year he joined BT Securities as a financial analyst. He is currently the Head of Research at BT Securities and a speaker with Romanian Brokers’ Association. He is an MTA (Market Technicians Association, New York) affiliate and cleared CMT level 1 exam. He is a contributing columnist for Orpheus Capitals for the ALPHA GLOBAL INDICES.


Elliott, Timing and China

As a chart of the week, we have taken SSEC China (The Shanghai Index). China has been always been of key interest to the world. India looks at it to understand relative growth in China compared to India. On an Elliott perspective, SSEC seems to be making a cycle structure expanding diagonal with another final ongoing 5 cycle wave. The 1 and 2 primary circle of the 5 cycle wave seems complete and we are headed into the 3 primary cycle wave up.

This means that despite all anticipated negativity Chinese SSEC should head higher from 2011 lows. Now we have added multi month and multiyear Jiseki cycles along with the Elliott count. The multi month Jiseki is already turning up from worst rankings near 20 percentile and the very fact that cycles lows are non confirmed by higher lows in price suggests that our 2011 low anticipation could be correct. On the larger multiyear Jiseki structure the cycles are down for the last 4 years. SSEC has been falling and underperforming global assets since 2007 now. The rankings and cycles are still high and we have no change of trend confirmation on multiyear Jiseki cycles. The confirmation will only come when all the 3 cycles (red, blue and grey) turn up.

One should also keep in mind, that final 5 wave Elliott structure could also see a non confirmation from long term cycles. In conclusion the Jiseki timing model suggests potential multi month primary upside before anything. We anticipate support coming in soon enough for SSEC.

This article was written for ATMA.

Time Triads, Time Fractals, Time Arbitrage, Performance Cycles are terms coined by Orpheus Research. Time Triads is our weekly market letter. The report covers various aspects on TIME patterns, TIME forecast, alternative research, emerging markets, behavioral finance, market fractals, econohistory, econostatistics, time cyclicality, investment psychology, socioeconomics, pop cultural trends, macro economics, interest rates, derivatives, money management, Intermarket trends etc.