Archive for October 11th, 2011

The Happy Jiseki (Cycle)

 

We took and still take pride in writing about ideas that could not be found on Google. Getting indexed was a great feeling. But then SEO happened and the fun sport became big buck soccer. It was not about what content you created, it was more about how well tagged and searched and researched you were.  But then Time is a strange being, it keeps turning. This is why cycles happen, growth and decay happens and level playing fields get recreated.

Google search is powerful tool. Maybe the most powerful internet tools of our times. But history suggests that there are few sustaining ideas which last beyond a century. Can Google evolve beyond a century? What if we have Inflation, war, social unrest, food crisis, power and food shortage? How key would internet be 100 years from now? Is there something beyond information? If everything is exponential including the accelerating universe (Nobel Prize 2011), how can information generation and access not be exponential? And if everything exponential is also prone to decay, why can’t the information society give way to something else, something newer? These are hard questions to ponder. Well change is hard to predict and we have little clue what will happen.

We decided to test our algorithms on Google search data. Emotions are important for economics. We took a group of emotions and ran a ranking test on them to see a trend, a Jiseki cycle, to not only see which emotion was a top ranker and which was the worst ranker but also to anticipate whether the society is getting happier or not….

This article was written for Business Standard

To read this article and for regular updates on behavioral finance, performance cycles and market forecasts subscribe to Orpheus Research Time Triads Update.

Time Triads, Time Fractals, Time Arbitrage, Performance Cycles are terms coined by Orpheus Research. Time Triads is our weekly market letter. The report covers various aspects on TIME patterns, TIME forecast, alternative research, emerging markets, behavioral finance, market fractals, econohistory, econostatistics, time cyclicality, investment psychology, socioeconomics, pop cultural trends, macro economics, interest rates, derivatives, money management, Intermarket trends etc.

 


Mid Economic’s worst performers

After showcasing some of the top performers of each economic sector, we are now focusing on a few worst performers, i.e. the stocks which should outperform the broad market in the weeks ahead. ALOK TEXTILES and PUNJ LLOYD are the worst Mid Economic stocks, ranked at 5% and 6% rankings respectively. The current Alpha India report carries technical cases on the two assets.

The market bias remains positive for the day as NIFTY heads to our anticipated resistances at 5,200 resistances.

Our Jiseki Time cycles are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings of 0 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.

Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.