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The INR McBurger
Posted By Orpheus On January 10, 2012 @ 9:53 AM In Global,Research Updates | No Comments
Recently economist carried the comparisons of currencies around the world. The table suggested in INR terms the BIG MAC INDEX was the cheapest. At Orpheus when we hear the world CHEAPEST bells ring very hard. When something gets cheapest it automatically senses of value. We don’t think INR to be in an impulse higher and don’t think the shooting star at 54 is easy to break in Jan. We see some strengthening to 52 and lower before anything. How this is going to influence equity remains to be seen. This latest FOREX JISEKI we have ranked the currencies over the last quarter and carried the various FOREX JISEKI around the world. For INR we have looked at the XEN (INR currency Index) Jiseki. The Jiseki has not bottomed yet, but in ranking terms INR is indeed one of the worst performers. We have carried a technical case on INR along with YEN, GBP etc.
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Coverage Global: S&P500 components, Global Indices, ETF SPDRS, Commodities, Bonds and Currencies
Our Jiseki Time cycles are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.
Jiseki Interpretation. Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1>Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1>Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.
Jyoti Nangrani, CMT (Chartered Market Technician) from the Market Technicians Association. She has 5 years of experience in Technical Analysis covering Equity and Commodity markets. She holds a Masters diploma in E-Business and is currently pursuing the MS Finance from ICFAI, Hyderabad. She is a Senior Technical Analyst at Aditya Birla Money covering Indian Equity Markets. She worked as a part of the core strategy team at Tower Capital devising CRM and MIS systems for Debt/Equity and Commodity divisions. She is passionate about Technical Analysis and considers it an extremely valuable skill in current times.
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