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	<title>Orpheus Capitals</title>
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	<link>http://orpheus.asia</link>
	<description>Global Alternative Research</description>
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		<title>Has Suzlon reversed?</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/02/03/has-suzlon-reversed/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/02/03/has-suzlon-reversed/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Feb 2012 23:29:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10914</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160; Has Suzlon reversed? What are the reasons? What are the reversal targets? To read this Suzlon special mail us for subscription details. Our Jiseki Time cycles are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/SUZLON.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10915" title="SUZLON" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/SUZLON.png" alt="" width="446" height="357" /></a></p>
<p>Has Suzlon reversed?</p>
<p>What are the reasons?</p>
<p>What are the reversal targets?</p>
<p>To read this Suzlon special mail us for subscription details.</p>
<p>Our<strong> Jiseki Time cycles</strong> are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.</p>
<p><strong>Jiseki Interpretation</strong>. Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.</p>
<p><strong>Coverage India: </strong>CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/ANNA.MARIA_.MICHESAN.png"><img title="ANNA.MARIA.MICHESAN" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/ANNA.MARIA_.MICHESAN-150x150.png" alt="" width="63" height="63" /></a></p>
<p>Michesan Anna-Maria, discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames.</p>
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		<title>Sensex @ 21,000</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/02/02/sensex-21000/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/02/02/sensex-21000/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Feb 2012 05:01:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10909</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160; Why is sensex headed to 21,000? What is the target for Nifty? What are the technical and Elliott reasons? Is it over for Bears? To read the report mail us for subscription details. You can also download the report from our Reuters Store Our Jiseki Time cycles are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/SENSEX-21000.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10910" title="SENSEX 21000" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/SENSEX-21000.png" alt="" width="543" height="363" /></a></p>
<p>Why is sensex headed to 21,000?</p>
<p>What is the target for Nifty?</p>
<p>What are the technical and Elliott reasons?</p>
<p>Is it over for Bears?</p>
<p>To read the report mail us for subscription details.</p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">You can also download the report from our Reuters Store</a></p>
<p><strong>Our Jiseki Time cycles</strong> are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.</p>
<p><strong>Jiseki Interpretation.</strong> Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.</p>
<p><strong>Coverage Global</strong>: Dow 30 components, Global Indices, ETF SPDRS, Commodities</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Dan-Rusu...jpg"><img class="alignleft" title="Dan-Rusu.." src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Dan-Rusu...jpg" alt="" width="98" height="120" /></a>Dan-Andrei Rusu</strong> graduated in 2005 the Faculty of Economics Cluj-Napoca, “Dimitrie Cantemir” University. In the same year he joined BT Securities as a financial analyst. He is currently the Head of Research at BT Securities and a speaker with Romanian Brokers&#8217; Association. He is an MTA (Market Technicians Association, New York) affiliate and cleared CMT level 1 exam. He is a contributing columnist for Orpheus Capitals for the ALPHA GLOBAL INDICES.</p>
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		<title>Indian Health Care. Distributing or consolidating?</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/02/01/indian-health-care-distributing-or-consolidating/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/02/01/indian-health-care-distributing-or-consolidating/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Feb 2012 03:47:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10906</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What is the view on BSE Health Care? Will CIPLA and SUN move higher? What does momentum tell us about the health care majors? Are we in a multi year bottoms or tops? Is BION still negative? What are the levels above which BSE Health Care gets into a bullish mode? To read this special [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/JISEKI.RANBAXY.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10907" title="JISEKI.RANBAXY" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/JISEKI.RANBAXY.png" alt="" width="396" height="362" /></a></p>
<p>What is the view on BSE Health Care?<br />
Will CIPLA and SUN move higher?<br />
What does momentum tell us about the health care majors? Are we in a multi year bottoms or tops?<br />
Is BION still negative?<br />
What are the levels above which BSE Health Care gets into a bullish mode?</p>
<p>To read this special sector report on Health Care, mail us for subscription details.</p>
<p>Our<strong> Jiseki Time cycles</strong> are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>Jiseki Interpretation</strong>. Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.</p>
<p><strong>Coverage India: </strong>CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/ANNA.MARIA_.MICHESAN.png"><img class="alignleft" title="ANNA.MARIA.MICHESAN" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/ANNA.MARIA_.MICHESAN-150x150.png" alt="" width="63" height="63" /></a></p>
<p>Michesan Anna-Maria, discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames.</p>
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			<wfw:commentRss>http://orpheus.asia/2012/02/01/indian-health-care-distributing-or-consolidating/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
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		<title>Maruti vs. Mahindra</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/31/maruti-vs-mahindra/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/31/maruti-vs-mahindra/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Jan 2012 22:21:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10900</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160; Will Maruti outperform M&#38;M? How much did Short Maruti, long M&#38;M deliver annualized? What is the BSEAUTO outlook? To read more about our JISEKI RANKINGS, Signals and queries mail us today. Our Jiseki Time cycles are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/MARUTI.VS_.MAHINDRA.png"><img class="aligncenter  wp-image-10901" title="MARUTI.VS.MAHINDRA" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/MARUTI.VS_.MAHINDRA.png" alt="" width="418" height="324" /></a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/maruti.vs_.mahm_.return.png"><img class="aligncenter  wp-image-10902" title="maruti.vs.mahm.return" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/maruti.vs_.mahm_.return.png" alt="" width="443" height="341" /></a></p>
<p>Will Maruti outperform M&amp;M?</p>
<p>How much did Short Maruti, long M&amp;M deliver annualized?</p>
<p>What is the BSEAUTO outlook?</p>
<p>To read more about our JISEKI RANKINGS, Signals and queries mail us today.</p>
<p>Our<strong> Jiseki Time cycles</strong> are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.</p>
<p><strong>Jiseki Interpretation</strong>. Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.</p>
<p><strong><strong><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/avinash.png"><img title="avinash" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/avinash.png" alt="" width="155" height="174" /></a></strong></strong></p>
<p><strong><strong></strong>Avinash Barnwal </strong>is Master of Science in Statistics and Informatics from IIT Kharagpur. He has worked on human response time at Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam.  Avinash is a Quantitative Analyst at Orpheus developing money management solutions and building statistical models to address temporal challenges.</p>
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		<title>The temporal value</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/27/the-temporal-value/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/27/the-temporal-value/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Jan 2012 00:29:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Patterns and Proportions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Time Triads]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10889</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160; Societal quest for value is continuous, repetitive, similar, connected with cooperation and patterned. I don&#8217;t know who is better, Clint Eastwood or Rajkumar Hirani. I saw two back to back films, one was ‘3 idiots’ on Thursday and Friday it was ‘J Edgar’. Though this non confirms my (self proclaimed) film buff status, I [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/snowflake.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-10890 alignleft" title="snowflake" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/snowflake.jpg" alt="" width="347" height="325" /></a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><em>Societal quest for value is continuous, repetitive, similar, connected with cooperation and patterned.</em></p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know who is better, Clint Eastwood or Rajkumar Hirani. I saw two back to back films, one was ‘3 idiots’ on Thursday and Friday it was ‘J Edgar’. Though this non confirms my (self proclaimed) film buff status, I took a while to catch up on the top grossing cinema creations. Blockbuster or award winning films force you to think, relate and see patterns irrespective of the settings, regional or global.</p>
<p>The search or quest for value has started to emerge out of the societal expression, be it films, books or protests. Whether it was Chetan Bhagat&#8217;s famed work, a Bollywood adaptation or Eastwood and DiCaprio&#8217;s attempt to educate Americans and the world about the workings of FBI and science of investigative innovations, there is a visible creative attempt to cherish the value of history and acknowledge purposeful life over corporate rat race.</p>
<p>The continuity of value…Value expressions have continuity because revolutions happen, creative expressions are awarded and history prospers, as we keep revisiting it. A failed present and murky future outlook keeps sending the society back to the past, to seek lessons from the valuable old. This ‘value revisiting’ also creates science as we keep refining our value measuring systems. Edgar insisted on a centralized finger prints depository to enhance investigation. What seemed ridiculous then turned out to be a necessary innovation.</p>
<p>The continuity of value can also be witnessed in the similarity of times&#8230;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.business-standard.com/india/search_news.php?search=Mukul+Pal&amp;select=author">To read the complete article visit Business Standard.</a></p>
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		<title>Show me the &#8220;money&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/26/show-me-the-money/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/26/show-me-the-money/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 03:54:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10877</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160; If the most important indicator in measuring and weighing market structure is price confirmation then there is nothing more important than a positive price breakout. Whether we have had the Jan effect (the first 5 day positive price effect) or not, the monthly close is suggesting some conspicuous price confirmations. As Indices around the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jerry_Maguire#Famous_quotations"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10879" title="show me the money" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/show-me-the-money1.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="300" /></a></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>If the most important indicator in measuring and weighing market structure is price confirmation then there is nothing more important than a positive price breakout. Whether we have had the Jan effect (the first 5 day positive price effect) or not, the monthly close is suggesting some conspicuous price confirmations. As Indices around the world are breaking some significant true trendlines. For example the DOW 30. It has broken a significant true trendline of five years. We mentioned prior on <a href="http://orpheus.asia/2011/12/04/the-dow-illusion-ii/">4 Dec in the DOW Illusion &#8211; II</a></p>
<p><em>“Did you know that DOW is 16% from an all time high, which it has not distinctly broken in 12 years. The basic rule of market structure suggests that the more a resistance is tested, the more likely it’s to break. Any 16% upside gives DOW a chance to test the 12 year resistance. How large is a 16% move?</em></p>
<p>This is what seems to happen now. This can of course be a false breakout. But how many false breakouts do you need? World Index, Russell 1000 broad index, Nasdaq 100, ISE home builders, Dow transports, and IYE real estate. True trendline breaks are all over the place. We need a failure across the board for the various sector indices to fail here and markets to come down. Well like I (Dan’s Elliott View is contrary to my conventional view) said, the bears are asking the bulls for the price confirmation or “show me the money”. Unfortunately “money” (price confirmation) is staring the bears in their face suggesting them to review their stand.</p>
<p>From the Indian perspective, the price confirmations are absent. You can’t expect India to lead everything. The whole idea of leadership is cyclical. Assets outperform and underperform their global peers cyclically. It’s time for India to lag hence no price confirmation. But if you observe closely all of CNXIT, BSE500, Sensex, CNX100, BSEAUTO, BSEPOWER are testing multi month resistances. A break would set the Indian Bull free to perform in 2012 (despite the odds). At the end of the day a few months or a 12 month Bull can happen in a large 90 year bottoming cycle. We as investors just need to focus on conserving portfolios while trying for double digit annual returns. The only way to do this is to focus on the worst losers and price breakout at the same time. This report carries some of the potential best long ideas in CNX100 components.</p>
<p>Let’s see, price confirmation prevails or Elliott Preferred topping 2 wave structures.</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/breakouts.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10880" title="breakouts" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/breakouts.png" alt="" width="621" height="842" /></a></p>
<p>To read the report mail us for subscription details.</p>
<p><a href="https://commerce.us.reuters.com/purchase/advancedSearch.do?providerList=38902">You can also download the report from our Reuters Store</a></p>
<p><strong>Our Jiseki Time cycles</strong> are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.</p>
<p><strong>Jiseki Interpretation.</strong> Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.</p>
<p><strong>Coverage Global</strong>: Dow 30 components, Global Indices, ETF SPDRS, Commodities</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Dan-Rusu...jpg"><img title="Dan-Rusu.." src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/Dan-Rusu...jpg" alt="" width="98" height="120" /></a>Dan-Andrei Rusu</strong> graduated in 2005 the Faculty of Economics Cluj-Napoca, “Dimitrie Cantemir” University. In the same year he joined BT Securities as a financial analyst. He is currently the Head of Research at BT Securities and a speaker with Romanian Brokers&#8217; Association. He is an MTA (Market Technicians Association, New York) affiliate and cleared CMT level 1 exam. He is a contributing columnist for Orpheus Capitals for the ALPHA GLOBAL INDICES.</p>
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		<title>BHEL VS PUNJ(L)</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/25/bhel-vs-punjl/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/25/bhel-vs-punjl/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jan 2012 04:05:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10873</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#160; Apart from being a conservative long – short strategy, pair trading can also assist in stock selection. What to buy? When to buy? What to sell? When to sell? Now considering we have a worst status for Punj(L) and a still a best status for Bhel. The stocks are running at 5% and 95% [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/BHEL.PUNJ1_.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10874" title="BHEL.PUNJ(1)" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/BHEL.PUNJ1_.png" alt="" width="637" height="547" /></a></p>
<p>Apart from being a conservative long – short strategy, pair trading can also assist in stock selection. What to buy? When to buy? What to sell? When to sell? Now considering we have a worst status for Punj(L) and a still a best status for Bhel. The stocks are running at 5% and 95% respectively. We ran a pair check on the stocks and the JISEKI pair cycles delivered a maximum of 71% from Sep 2009 till May 2011. This is 45% annualized. The JISEKI cycle signal was running in favor of LONG BHEL and SHORT PUNJ(L) till JULY 2011. This again would have delivered about 35% annualized.  A reversion signal to the other side has not happened yet. Whenever it happens, SHORT BHEL and LONG PUNJ(L) will deliver. This is likely to happen because BHEL is the best and PUJ(L) is the worst. The latest ALPHA carries technical cases, Jiseki cycles and the respective pair review.</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/BHEL.PUJL2_.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10875" title="BHEL.PUJL(2)" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/BHEL.PUJL2_.png" alt="" width="646" height="515" /></a></p>
<p>To read more about our JISEKI RANKINGS, Signals and queries mail us today.</p>
<p>Our<strong> Jiseki Time cycles</strong> are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.</p>
<p><strong>Jiseki Interpretation</strong>. Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.</p>
<p><strong><strong><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/avinash.png"><img class="alignleft" title="avinash" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/avinash.png" alt="" width="155" height="174" /></a></strong></strong></p>
<p><strong><strong></strong>Avinash Barnwal </strong>is Master of Science in Statistics and Informatics from IIT Kharagpur. He has worked on human response time at Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam.  Avinash is a Quantitative Analyst at Orpheus developing money management solutions and building statistical models to address temporal challenges.</p>
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		<title>A) Sector, B) Stock, C) Jiseki</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/24/a-sector-b-stock-c-jiseki-3/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/24/a-sector-b-stock-c-jiseki-3/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jan 2012 03:30:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10865</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Which sectors are best ranked? Which sectors are worst ranked? Will the best ranked underperform and vice versa? Can this help me make a strategy, to shortlist the best short ideas, if the markets are falling and vice versa? So we ran a Jiseki query 1) Filter the best performing sectors above 80% 2) Filter [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/24012.jiseki.sector.india_.png"><img class="alignleft" title="24012.jiseki.sector.india" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/24012.jiseki.sector.india_.png" alt="" width="357" height="307" /></a></p>
<p>Which sectors are best ranked?<br />
Which sectors are worst ranked?<br />
Will the best ranked underperform and vice versa?<br />
Can this help me make a strategy, to shortlist the best short ideas, if the markets are falling and vice versa?</p>
<p>So we ran a Jiseki query</p>
<p>1) Filter the best performing sectors above 80%<br />
2) Filter them for falling Jiseki cycle negative crossover signals<br />
3) Find the top ranked stocks in that sector<br />
4) Filter the list for running short signals</p>
<p>Can you guess the sector and the stock which fulfills these conditions?</p>
<p>We have answered all these questions in the latest ALPHA. The report carries technical cases on all the banking stocks, ranking of pairs, the top running pair, Jiseki cycles on the banking stocks and a sector preview.</p>
<p>To read more about our JISEKI RANKINGS, Signals and queries mail us today.</p>
<p>Our<strong> Jiseki Time cycles</strong> are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.</p>
<p><strong>Jiseki Interpretation</strong>. Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.</p>
<p><strong><strong><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/avinash.png"><img class="alignleft" title="avinash" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/10/avinash.png" alt="" width="155" height="174" /></a></strong></strong></p>
<p><strong><strong></strong>Avinash Barnwal </strong>is Master of Science in Statistics and Informatics from IIT Kharagpur. He has worked on human response time at Department of Psychology, University of Amsterdam.  Avinash is a Quantitative Analyst at Orpheus developing money management solutions and building statistical models to address temporal challenges.</p>
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		<title>The Nifty Alternate</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/23/the-nifty-alternate/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/23/the-nifty-alternate/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 03:17:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10848</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What is the Nifty Alternate view? Is the Alternate Negative? What is the target for Nifty Alternate view? What are the reasons? Which are the market majors that confirm this view? Which are the sectors that confirm the alternate view? Above what Level the Bull Market is confirmed and the Bears should close shop? What [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What is the Nifty Alternate view?<br />
Is the Alternate Negative?<br />
What is the target for Nifty Alternate view?<br />
What are the reasons?<br />
Which are the market majors that confirm this view?<br />
Which are the sectors that confirm the alternate view?<br />
Above what Level the Bull Market is confirmed and the Bears should close shop?<br />
What Nifty levels keep the bears still in the game for multi-months?</p>
<p>To read this special report on Elliott, Jiseki and conventional technicals on Nifty, majors, gold and brent.</p>
<p>Our<strong> Jiseki Time cycles</strong> are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/JISEKI.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10849" title="JISEKI" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/JISEKI.png" alt="" width="667" height="824" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Jiseki Interpretation</strong>. Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.</p>
<p><strong>Coverage India: </strong>CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/ANNA.MARIA_.MICHESAN.png"><img class="alignleft" title="ANNA.MARIA.MICHESAN" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/ANNA.MARIA_.MICHESAN-150x150.png" alt="" width="63" height="63" /></a></p>
<p>Michesan Anna-Maria, discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames.</p>
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		<title>Natural Gas at 10 year low</title>
		<link>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/20/natural-gas-at-10-year-low/</link>
		<comments>http://orpheus.asia/2012/01/20/natural-gas-at-10-year-low/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jan 2012 23:07:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Orpheus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Updates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://orpheus.asia/?p=10844</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What does it mean if Natural Gas hits 10 Year LOW? Does it mean Natural Gas will remain oversupply? Or does it mean a rise in prices in Natural Gas is inevitable? When will the reversal happen? What does it mean for Indian Energy majors? What does the intermarket relationship suggest between Indian Energy Majors [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/NATGAS.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-10845" title="NATGAS" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/NATGAS.png" alt="" width="629" height="521" /></a></p>
<p>What does it mean if Natural Gas hits 10 Year LOW?<br />
Does it mean Natural Gas will remain oversupply?<br />
Or does it mean a rise in prices in Natural Gas is inevitable?<br />
When will the reversal happen?<br />
What does it mean for Indian Energy majors?<br />
What does the intermarket relationship suggest between Indian Energy Majors and Natgas?</p>
<p>To read this special report on Natural Gas and Oil and Gas sector download it from our e store.</p>
<p>Our<strong> Jiseki Time cycles</strong> are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick. Jiseki is another name for Performance cycles, time triads and time fractals. The signals are illustrated as a running portfolio and as Jiseki Indices. These signals can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades.</p>
<p><strong>Jiseki Interpretation</strong>. Signals are interpreted as crossovers between various Jiseki Cycles. All three Jiseki cycles (Jiseki 1,2 and 3) depict different time frames. Example: An asset is ranked above 80 percentile and all the three Jiseki cycles are pointing lower, this suggests a running SHORT SIGNAL. Our Jiseki Indices use different kind of exits based on price and Jiseki Cycles. We have color coded the (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki 2) SHORT zones with brown sandy (burlywood) and grey (Jiseki 1&gt;Jiseki2) for LONG SIGNALS.</p>
<p><strong>Coverage India: </strong>CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.</p>
<p><a href="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/ANNA.MARIA_.MICHESAN.png"><img class="alignleft" title="ANNA.MARIA.MICHESAN" src="http://orpheus.asia/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/ANNA.MARIA_.MICHESAN-150x150.png" alt="" width="63" height="63" /></a></p>
<p>Michesan Anna-Maria, discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames.</p>
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