Archive for December 24th, 2010

INR Q4 Seasonality

Cyclists are also technicians, if we consider the fact that they are also looking for seasonality pattern in prices. As studying Time gathers momentum among chartists, Time studying techniques will evolve. One of the old methods to spot seasonality is just going there and spotting it.
Here we have illustrated the INR Q4 indicator. Q4 has been a strong inflexion time for INR. From 1990 till 2002, after every Q4 prices have seen primary year long weakness. This seasonality changed polarity from 2002 till 2008 (INR strengthening) and now from 2008 INR Q4 is in a seasonality of weakness. This Q4 inflexion has only failed twice in 20 years. We have assumed the neutral cases where INR was flat over the duration as correct.

What is the reason this weakness seasonality may persist?

Merry Christmas, happy holidays and prosperous New Year wishes.

This article is written for ATMA

Time Triads, Time Fractals, Time Arbitrage, Performance Cycles are terms coined by Orpheus Research. Time Triads is our weekly market letter. The report covers various aspects on TIME patterns, TIME forecast, alternative research, emerging markets, behavioral finance, market fractals, econohistory, econostatistics, time cyclicality, investment psychology, socioeconomics, pop cultural trends, macro economics, interest rates, derivatives, money management, Intermarket trends etc.

Merry Christmas

Source: Wikipedia, Child singers carrying a star with icon of a saint. Bucharest, 1842.

Merry Christmas to all our readers