Archive for January 20th, 2011

Alpha India LE - Metals

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives long only, short only, pair trading signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are carried over minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days) time frame. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Naked and/or pair strategies are not riskless strategies. Time arbitrage portfolio legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the Orpheus Research products.

Coverage India: BSE500 traded stocks and Indian Indices.

Michesan Anna-Maria, the columnist for the WAVES.INDIA weekly and Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


Copper vs. Dollar

In this latest report of Alpha Global we have looked at a combination of commodities with forex pairs. The charts below illustrate the Rieki performance cycle of Comex Spot Copper (.BRHG) and PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP). The Dollar Index Bullish Fund Rieki has not reversed yet and is still bottoming while Copper Spot is rising and has reached the top 100 performance among our global coverage. Neither Copper or Dollar have shown any indication of reversal. However, if we extend the metals case to silver and gold, we observe that performance Rieki has already reversed. A similar exhaustion case is visible from Australian Dollar and Canadian Dollar. We need further price confirmation on dollar and the commodity complex to look for a primary reversal. But the intermediate reversal seem to be in. We have illustrated Crude, EURUSD Elliott counts and key levels.

Coverage Global: S&P500 components, Global Indices, ETF SPDRS, Commodities, Bonds and Currencies

Jyoti Nangrani, CMT (Chartered Market Technician) from the Market Technicians Association. She has 5 years of experience in Technical Analysis covering Equity and Commodity markets. She holds a Masters diploma in E-Business and is currently pursuing the MS Finance from ICFAI, Hyderabad. She is a Senior Technical Analyst at Aditya Birla Money covering Indian Equity Markets. She worked as a part of the core strategy team at Tower Capital devising CRM and MIS systems for Debt/Equity and Commodity divisions. She is passionate about Technical Analysis and considers it an extremely valuable skill in current times. Jyoti will be covering Forex in her weekly columns.


Sensex, BSE500, VIX and INR RIEKI

Sensex and BSE 500 Rieki structures look topping, suggesting a pending underperformance of the broad market. NIFTY VIX and INR Futures Rieki structures are positive, suggesting an ongoing outperformance of the respective assets.

TICKS.GLOBAL covers DOW, GOLD, SILVER, OIL, EURUSD, DAX and other global assets and futures on an Intra day basis. The reports are published through a self refreshing webpage. TICKS.GLOBAL is a web based service it is only available through the Orpheus Site.


The Pharma Bull

There are many ways to look at a multi year bull market. One way is to look at the defensive sector like pharmaceuticals. How the defensive sector should perform can suggest if we are in a sustainable multi year positivity or not.

Though both ATB and BIO are overstretched on multi week RSI momentum, on Rieki performance cycles both of the stocks are emerging out from worst ranking performance. This means that even if the markets fall from here (preferred scenario) pharma majors should hold supports well and should outperform the market.

Above this the structure on the pharma majors look like an ongoing corrective countertrend that should continue to move sideways for a few weeks or a month or two before resolving higher to new highs. This suggests that the large bull market case for Romania is intact and falls should be used to accumulate these two blue chips and other value picks.

Enjoy the latest Alpha Romania Indices

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives long only, short only, pair trading signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are carried over minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days) time frame. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Naked and/or pair strategies are not riskless strategies. Time arbitrage portfolio legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the Orpheus Research products.