Archive for March, 2011

Alpha India LE - Container Corporation of India

Container Corporation of India Daily
The minor structure looks like a completed (a)-(b)-(c) correction up. However, we need a break sub trend channel and key Fibonacci supports at 1,170 levels to confirm further negativity. The larger non-confirmation of the daily RSI momentum also confirms our case.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.

Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


NIFTY at 5,800 resistances

NIFTY Daily. Prices reach our anticipated resistance at 5,800. If prices should turn, they should now.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.

Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


S&P500 bullish preferred scenario

S&P500.60MIN SWITCHED TO A BULLISH PREFERRED SCENARIO
Pushed significantly above 1,313, so we’ve decided to go with a new preferred scenario which aims for new highs at 1,370. The bullish count labels the recent decline as wave 4 and gets confirmed once prices climb above 1,332. Meanwhile, the bearish count becomes the alternate scenario as it still stands chances for now.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives long only, short only, pair trading signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are carried over minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days) time frame. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Naked and/or pair strategies are not riskless strategies. Time arbitrage portfolio legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the Orpheus Research products.

Coverage Global: Dow 30 components, Global Indices, ETF SPDRS, Commodities

Dan-Andrei Rusu graduated in 2005 the Faculty of Economics Cluj-Napoca, “Dimitrie Cantemir” University. In the same year he joined BT Securities as a financial analyst. He is currently the Head of Research at BT Securities and a speaker with Romanian Brokers’ Association. He is an MTA (Market Technicians Association, New York) affiliate and cleared CMT level 1 exam. He is a contributing columnist for Orpheus Capitals for the ALPHA GLOBAL INDICES.


S&P500 bullish preferred scenario

S&P500.60MIN SWITCHED TO A BULLISH PREFERRED SCENARIO
Pushed significantly above 1,313, so we’ve decided to go with a new preferred scenario which aims for new highs at 1,370. The bullish count labels the recent decline as wave 4 and gets confirmed once prices climb above 1,332. Meanwhile, the bearish count becomes the alternate scenario as it still stands chances for now.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives long only, short only, pair trading signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are carried over minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days) time frame. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Naked and/or pair strategies are not riskless strategies. Time arbitrage portfolio legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the Orpheus Research products.

Coverage Global: Dow 30 components, Global Indices, ETF SPDRS, Commodities

Dan-Andrei Rusu graduated in 2005 the Faculty of Economics Cluj-Napoca, “Dimitrie Cantemir” University. In the same year he joined BT Securities as a financial analyst. He is currently the Head of Research at BT Securities and a speaker with Romanian Brokers’ Association. He is an MTA (Market Technicians Association, New York) affiliate and cleared CMT level 1 exam. He is a contributing columnist for Orpheus Capitals for the ALPHA GLOBAL INDICES.


Alpha India ME - L&T and BHEL

Both weekly Jiseki structures turned negative as prices reversed and continue to suggest further intermediate negativity for L&T and BHEL.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.

Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


Alpha India ME - L&T and BHEL

Both weekly Jiseki structures turned negative as prices reversed and continue to suggest further intermediate negativity for L&T and BHEL.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.

Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


Alpha India Indices - NSEBANK Jiseki

NSEBANK Jiseki. Weekly. The Jiseki cycles made a negative crossover after prices reversed and continue to suggest further intermediate negativity for the index.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.

Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


Dogs of the Dow

 

Michael O’Higgins 1991 strategy proposed that allocation in the ten highest dividend paying Dow components is an approach to beat the business cycle. For us outperformance is not just about dividend as a fraction of price but also about absolute performance. A worst performing asset is a potential outperformer and vice versa.

Higgins made entry in his dividend strategy simple by specifying it as an annual selection. The annual selection assumed a yearly cycle. Unlike annual cycles, Jiseki performance cycles work over multiple degrees of time. So entry for us is linked with the holding period (risk profile) of the investor.  The entry for performance cycles can also be judged visually when the Jiseki cycles turn up.

Now for us the other Dog of the Dow, ProShares Short Dow30 ETF is getting ready to outperform. Not only it’s in the worst 20% among 1000 global composite asset universe over an intermediate period but also the Jiseki cycles are oversold. We anticipate a trading reversal soon on the DOG.

To read more of such updates on subscribe to Orpheus Research Reports.

This article is written for ATMA

Time Triads, Time Fractals, Time Arbitrage, Performance Cycles are terms coined by Orpheus Research. Time Triads is our weekly market letter. The report covers various aspects on TIME patterns, TIME forecast, alternative research, emerging markets, behavioral finance, market fractals, econohistory, econostatistics, time cyclicality, investment psychology, socioeconomics, pop cultural trends, macro economics, interest rates, derivatives, money management, Intermarket trends etc.

 


Alpha India EE - The Indian Banking sector

Although NSEBANK has broken 11,200 resistances and the structure looks like a valid inverted head and shoulders, we are looking at the current upmove as another minor leg up which should complete near 11,700-12,000 levels. Most of the Indian banks are at high rankings (10 out of 15 are ranked above 80%, 8 out of 15 are ranked above 90%, 14 out of 15 are above 50%). This means that we are waiting for potential short signals among these stocks. Punjab National Bank, Bank of India, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank are the best and should start underperforming soon. If you are looking at buying Indian banking stocks, Indian Overseas Bank is the one which could have a larger move up. It is the only one ranked sub 50% and the weekly structure suggests a potential retest of previous intermediate highs.

The Punjab National Bank case

Prices reached 0.382 Fibonacci resistances and previous w circle wave lows near 1,140 levels. The minor structure looks like a completing corrective X wave up which could extend higher till 1,170-1,230 levels. We won’t be surprised if prices turn back from 1,170 levels back to lower levels.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.

Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


Alpha India - Health care majors point lower

Though BSE health care is not the top ranked sector, Lupin and Dr. Redy  continue to have topping Jiseki. If defensive pharma points lower, we are not out of the woods yet.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices.

Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.