Archive for July, 2011

Early Economic rankings: Auto

Today’s report carries special cases on the Indian Auto sector. The chart below illustrates the rankings of the BSE Auto components. The best performers are Exide, Bajaj Auto and Cummins, while the worst performers are Amtek Auto, Bharat Forge and Ashok Leyland.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices. Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


Late Economic sector ranking: Pharma

Today’s report carries the Jiseki ranking of the CNX Pharma components. As illustrated in the chart below, the best performers are Lupin, Divis Lab and Sun Pharma, while the worst performers are Ranbaxy, Biocon and Piramal Healthcare.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices. Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


CNXIT head and shoulders

CNXIT Weekly. The intermediate structure looks like a valid head and shoulders reversal pattern. Prices reached our first target at 6,200 levels. Sub respective supports another extension lower till near 5,500 supports is not ruled out yet.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices. Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


SSEC anticipated and happened

SSEC.60MIN WE EXPECT A CORRECTIVE WAVE CIRCLE ii AT 2,840 TARGETED LEVELS ANTICIPATED ALPHA.GLOBAL.060711 Nearing our targets at 2,840-2,900. We expect this area to provide some resistance as the internal structure of wave circle i looks almost completed (we only need the final wave v to touch 2,840). The corrective circle ii could pull prices down to 2,740.

SSEC.60MIN HAPPENED. As anticipated, we had one more marginal new high on v of (v) of circle i followed by a severe correction that developed into an elongated flat. We expect prices to resume the uptrend any time now. However, if 2,700 fails to hold, the count gets negated and we are going to new lows.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives long only, short only, pair trading signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are carried over minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days) time frame. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Naked and/or pair strategies are not riskless strategies. Time arbitrage portfolio legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the Orpheus Research products.

Coverage Global: Dow 30 components, Global Indices, ETF SPDRS, Commodities

Dan-Andrei Rusu graduated in 2005 the Faculty of Economics Cluj-Napoca, “Dimitrie Cantemir” University. In the same year he joined BT Securities as a financial analyst. He is currently the Head of Research at BT Securities and a speaker with Romanian Brokers’ Association. He is an MTA (Market Technicians Association, New York) affiliate and cleared CMT level 1 exam. He is a contributing columnist for Orpheus Capitals for the ALPHA GLOBAL INDICES.


Havells head and shoulders

HAVELLS Daily. The minor structure looks like a valid head and shoulders reversal pattern. Prices broke neckline supports near 380 levels. Sub 0.618 key Fibonacci supports at 355 levels the impulsive C/3 wave down could extend lower till 330-300 levels.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices. Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


NIFTY bounces from anticipated supports near 5,500

NIFTY 60MIN. Prices are heading to a retest of previous subminor highs at 5,750 levels. A break above respective resistances would confirm that the third impulsive wave up has started.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices. Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


Alpha India - Worst Banks

Our preferred view on the Indian market remains positive as long as NIFTY remains above 5,500-5,400 supports.  This is a time to look at those assets which could outperform over the next few weeks i.e. worst performers.

The chart below illustrates the Jiseki ranking of the Bank NIFTY components. The worst performer banks are IDBI Bank, Oriental Bank and

ICICI Bank. The best performer banks are Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank and HDFC Bank.

Today’s report also carries technical cases on the two worst performer banks, IDBI and Oriental Bank.

 

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices. Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.

 


The Vancouver Coffee

 

Buying a Barista or Starbucks coffee and anticipating price trends in coffee never works

Walking on Robson Street buying Tall Vanilla Latte for my sister from Starbucks, I kept wondering how much against the trend I was. I have a short coffee position and with the way Canadians and my sister love coffee, you can imagine my state of mind.

And that’s not all there are about 10 Starbucks here on the same street, two of them across the same crossroads. Wherever I go, whether to a book store or to the beach side, the coffee shops are everywhere. If it’s not Starbucks then it’s Blenz. It’s simply crazy.

The coffee store does not leave me. And I ignorantly and foolishly keep holding on to my Short Coffee trade. Hoping that finally the supports would cave in and…

This article was written for Business Standard

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Time Triads, Time Fractals, Time Arbitrage, Performance Cycles are terms coined by Orpheus Research. Time Triads is our weekly market letter. The report covers various aspects on TIME patterns, TIME forecast, alternative research, emerging markets, behavioral finance, market fractals, econohistory, econostatistics, time cyclicality, investment psychology, socioeconomics, pop cultural trends, macro economics, interest rates, derivatives, money management, Intermarket trends etc.

 


The Lupin case

LUPIN Daily. Prices pushed lower from anticipated resistances near 490 levels and are heading to a retest of trend channel and key Fibonacci supports at 440 levels. We need a break here to confirm that the corrective (X) wave up is complete and look lower till our intermediate target at 370 levels (previous lows).

LUPIN Jiseki. The Jiseki cycles are still topping near 95% extreme rankings, suggesting an exhausting outperformance of LUPIN.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices. Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.


NSEBANK preferred

NSEBANK Daily. The preferred view continues to wait for a break above true trendline resistances near 11,400 levels. Above respective resistances we are looking higher till key confluence levels near psychological 12,000.

Alpha is a daily strategy signal product that gives trading and investment signals. Alpha is a numeric Ranking product based on TIME fractals. The signals are illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. Alpha is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

Coverage India: CNX100 traded stocks and Indian Indices. Michesan Anna-Maria, Head of India Research. Anna discovered her interest of markets immediately after completing her graduate studies in Economics. She followed it up with post graduate studies in corporate finance. A host of research work in behavioral finance, option strategies and quantifying market sentiment followed. Anna covers Indian equity and combines Elliott, Time Fractals and Time Analytics to deliver accuracy across time frames. To review some of her work, check out the annual India accuracy report 2009.