Archive for the ‘Softs’ category

The Vancouver Coffee

 

Buying a Barista or Starbucks coffee and anticipating price trends in coffee never works

Walking on Robson Street buying Tall Vanilla Latte for my sister from Starbucks, I kept wondering how much against the trend I was. I have a short coffee position and with the way Canadians and my sister love coffee, you can imagine my state of mind.

And that’s not all there are about 10 Starbucks here on the same street, two of them across the same crossroads. Wherever I go, whether to a book store or to the beach side, the coffee shops are everywhere. If it’s not Starbucks then it’s Blenz. It’s simply crazy.

The coffee store does not leave me. And I ignorantly and foolishly keep holding on to my Short Coffee trade. Hoping that finally the supports would cave in and…

This article was written for Business Standard

To read this article and for regular updates on behavioral finance, performance cycles and market forecasts subscribe to Orpheus Research Time Triads Update.

Time Triads, Time Fractals, Time Arbitrage, Performance Cycles are terms coined by Orpheus Research. Time Triads is our weekly market letter. The report covers various aspects on TIME patterns, TIME forecast, alternative research, emerging markets, behavioral finance, market fractals, econohistory, econostatistics, time cyclicality, investment psychology, socioeconomics, pop cultural trends, macro economics, interest rates, derivatives, money management, Intermarket trends etc.

 


The Soft Supercycle

Despite the recent fall Sugar and Coffee are still in news. The preferred view might look like an extending 3 cycle wave up. However, it makes sense to see what is not obvious from a rising asset price structure. This is the most common mistake Elliotticians make, not thinking of how the asset can surprise or in other words a backup alternate count. We have made a case for an alternate super cycle reversal here for sugar.

Time Triads, Time Fractals, Time Arbitrage, Performance Cycles are terms coined by Orpheus Research. Time Triads is our weekly market letter. The report covers various aspects on TIME patterns, TIME forecast, alternative research, emerging markets, behavioral finance, market fractals, econohistory, econostatistics, time cyclicality, investment psychology, socioeconomics, pop cultural trends, macro economics, interest rates, derivatives, money management, Intermarket trends etc.

This article is written for Association of Technical Market Analysts