Posts tagged ‘SNP’

LONG ONLY - ROMANIA

We have included the following indices and stocks. SIF2, SIF5, BRD, ERST, TGN. BET, BETFI, BETNG, BETXT, SNP. Based on reader feedback we will be carrying SUB MINOR ALPHA trades (2-3 days) on our intra day offer TICKS. If you are a short term trader ask for a free trial of TICKS.ROM. Looking forward to your feedback, suggestions and clarifications.

Enjoy the latest ALPHA.ROM

DOWNLOAD THE REPORT ALPHA.ROM.170809

LONG ONLY - ROMANIA

ALPHA is a pair trading, long only and short only strategy product based on TIME fractals.  Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has five pairs now viz. BRD-BET, BETXT-SNP, SIF2-SIF5, BRD-BETXT, BET-SNP. The above tracker will be updated on a daily basis. The freshly opened trades will have the shortest holding periods. The type of trade will be depicted in the degree i.e. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. BRD/BET means LONG BRD, SHORT BET. This also means +A-B. When the pair inverts to BET/BRD, it would mean SHORT BRD, LONG BET meaning -A+B.

LONG ONLY, SHORT ONLY portfolio covers SIF2, SIF5, BRD, ERST, TGN. BET, BETFI, BETNG, BETXT, SNP.

STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 4%

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LONG ONLY - ROMANIA

It was on 22 July we introduced the pairs based on TIME ARBITRAGE. Today we are adding the LONG ONLY ROMANIA portfolio on MINOR (10-30 days) to the existing TIME ANALYTICS offer. TIME FRACTALS can identify and isolate market performance across time frames. We started with pairs and now have added plain assets. On the first impression one might think that the returns seem better on single assets and pairs seem relatively more work. The reality is different. Pairs remain lower on the risk – return profile. While LONG ONLY or SHORT ONLY on single assets are higher on the risk return scale. The LONG ONLY portfolio will be updated every day. We have included the following indices and stocks. SIF2, SIF5, BRD, ERST, TGN. BET, BETFI, BETNG, BETXT, SNP. Based on reader feedback we will be carrying SUB MINOR ALPHA trades (2-3 days) on our intra day offer TICKS. If you are a short term trader ask for a free trial of TICKS.ROM. Looking forward to your feedback, suggestions and clarifications.

Enjoy the latest ALPHA.ROM


ALPHA.ROM - THE ROMANIA FIVE

The Romanian TIME ARBITRAGE portfolio has five pairs now viz. BRD-BET, BETXT-SNP, SIF2-SIF5, BRD-BETXT, BET-SNP. The above tracker will be updated on a daily basis. The freshly opened trades will have the shortest holding periods. The type of trade will be depicted in the degree i.e. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). The legs should be risk weighted before any implementation. We are assuming a running stop loss of 4% per traded pair. BRD/BET means LONG BRD, SHORT BET. This also means +A-B. When the pair inverts to BET/BRD, it would mean SHORT BRD, LONG BET meaning -A+B.

Please feel free to mail us for any clarifications.

Enjoy the latest ALPHA.ROM.040809

*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.

DOWNLOAD THE REPORT ALPHA.ROM.040809

ALPHA is a pair trading strategy product based on TIME ARBITRAGE, a term coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and binary charts. The product carries running performance portfolio tracker and give clear entry and exit signals. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

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ERSTE AND THE TIBETIAN MONK

Hard speculators find it tough to stick around in markets. The volatility of great wealth and bankruptcy cycle gets too much. “I just can’t take it any more. Things will get worse before they get better. So I m quitting”. Is it really that easy to quit, to leave. And even if you leave do you think markets will ever leave you. Till the time you are an economic being and not a meditating monk in TIBET, the markets will be connected to you. You want to do a green job, BPO, the social mood decides how long you will have that job and even if you have that job, there will be currency worries. How much are you worth in Euros or Dollars? The only way out of the market way is spiritualism. A new job is not going to take your miseries away. Oh! Yes there is the luck factor. If you are lucky, you will anyway survive
But then luck has cycles too. So when the luck runs out, you still need prayers. So the best thing is to understand the markets that you can’t shake off till you live. Forgive us, we are pushing you hard. But we want to get the message across, making a profit in a market or avoiding a loss is easier in markets than becoming a spiritual peaceful monk.

“In this dead markets” as a few claim we showcased how one can profit. The BETFI vs. BRD pair we showcased delivered 40% over 90 days.  This is what we said on 19 MAY. “ BETFI starts underperforming BRD”. We have been talking about many pairs over the last few months. We have some more shocking news for you, if you are one of those who think Romanian markets have no future. As markets change stock selection and investment strategies change. The Orpheus pair strategy revolutionizes stock selection. If BRD was outperforming BETFI and ERST was outperforming BRD then the best stock to pick was ERST. The banking major outperformed by BRD by 127% from the start of the year. “Ok! so what everything moved up”. Yes everything did, but ERST moved up more than BRD. Understanding winners is a part of the game. If you understand them, you will never have to leave the market, as you know the road to becoming a TIBETIAN MONK is much harder.

We have carried the latest performance cycles. Enjoy the latest WAVES.ROM.

*This is a perspective product and not a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ECONOHISTORY research products.

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WAVES.ROM is a perspective product published on TUESDAY’S and THURSDAY’S. The report highlights Romanian Stock Market top three Equity Indices viz. the top ten blue chip BET Index (.BETI), BET Composite (.BETC), the Financial Index BETFI (.BETFI) and the local currency RON (EURRON=, RON=). The products covers the top ten BET component stocks. (ROMP.BX, SNPP.BX, BATR.BX, BRDX.BX, TSEL.BX, ATBE.BX, BRKU.BX, BIOF.BX, IMPT.BX, TUBU.BX) and all the components of BETFI Financial Index(SIF2.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF1.BX, SIF4.BX) are covered in the report. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools, sentiment indicators and other alternative research tools like INTERMARKET to spot outperformers. WAVES.ROM, CHANNELS.BVB and CHANNELS.RASDAQ are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers all the BVB and RASDAQ stocks.

REUTERS COVERAGE .BETFI, TUBU.BX, TSEL.BX, SNPP.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF4.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF2.BX, SIF1.BX, ROMP.BX, IMPT.BX, BRKU.BX, BRDX.BX, BIOF.BX, BATR.BX, ATBE.BX

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ALPHA ROMANIA STARTS SIGNALLING

This update on ALPHA ROMANIA will take you through the mechanics of trading or investing based on the product signals. The pair trading strategy is divided into three different time horizons viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). We will call the portfolio with the respective names. Every pair has been classified. The above pair between SIF2-SIF5 is labeled as (RO1). The tracker illustrated above is an Intermediate portfolio with multi week trades lasting an average 66 trading session. The open date is at the top right corner. The pair was opened 14 days back.

Intermediate trades have large holding period and hence few entry points. Minor portfolio on the other hand have shorter holding periods and hence more signals than the intermediate portfolio. The +A – B notations suggest that the strategy is about buying SIF2 and selling SIF5. Now a trader should keep in mind that intermediate signals are less sensitive and hence may not be effected by short term cycles. The net unit return (assuming risk weighted baskets) is 4% over the last 14 days. Time Arbitrage is an attempt to reduce risk per unit of return, but a seasoned trader knows that risk can never be eliminated and riskless arbitrage, a term quoted in finance textbooks does not exist. This is why though backtested results show limited drawdown, we have a stop loss limit at 4%.  Leveraged traders should try to diversify with multiple pairs in a portfolio. ALPHA.ROM plans to have 10 pair portfolio next month. Please review the product everytime for fresh signals. The report carries other entry signals for other pairs.

Please feel free to mail us for any clarifications.

Enjoy the latest ALPHA.ROM

*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.

ALPHA is a pair trading strategy product based on TIME ARBITRAGE, a term coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and binary charts. The product carries running performance portfolio tracker and give clear entry and exit signals. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.

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Who is leading the pack?

As the first week of November comes to an end, a quick check at price performances can indicate intermediate trends ahead. The stock leading the MONTH TO DATE performances was SNP. The energy major returned 25% over the period. This compared to 10% on BET suggests that the Energy Major might continue its outperformance against the market for some time.

SNP’s positive performance was in sync with our OCT low expectations. We also mentioned about TEL, TGN and BRD (The First Five up), which returned an average of more than 10%. BRD’s marginal lower performance compared to BET continue to suggest a sectoral EARLY ECONOMIC overhang despite its sector leadership and suppressed valuations. We mentioned about BRD positivity (Why is BRD going up?) on 23 OCT. BETFI also hit our first anticipated target at 13,000, up 30% from 10,000 psychological levels seen in OCT.

A minor trend takes time to become intermediate. And an intermediate trend takes time to become primary. This anticipated upmove was of a MINOR degree and we expect it to become Intermediate. The strategy remains partial spot accumulation as its better to be patient with more price confirmation than otherwise. The current issue of WAVES.ROM carries multiple ANTICIPATED and HAPPENED cases along with the regular tracker of UP-DOWN TREND perspectives on most of the BET majors, BVB INDICES, SIFs and their futures.

Enjoy the latest WAVES.ROM

ORPHEUS ROMANIA RESEARCH

WAVES.ROM is a perspective product published on TUESDAY’S and THURSDAY’S. The report highlights Romanian Stock Market top three Equity Indices viz. the top ten blue chip BET Index (.BETI), BET Composite (.BETC), the Financial Index BETFI (.BETFI) and the local currency RON (EURRON=, RON=). The products covers the top ten BET component stocks. (ROMP.BX, SNPP.BX, BATR.BX, BRDX.BX, TSEL.BX, ATBE.BX, BRKU.BX, BIOF.BX, IMPT.BX, TUBU.BX) and all the components of BETFI Financial Index(SIF2.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF1.BX, SIF4.BX) are covered in the report. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools, sentiment indicators and other alternative research tools like INTERMARKET to spot outperformers. WAVES.ROM, CHANNELS.BVB and CHANNELS.RASDAQ are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers all the BVB and RASDAQ stocks.

REUTERS COVERAGE .BETFI, TUBU.BX, TSEL.BX, SNPP.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF4.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF2.BX, SIF1.BX, ROMP.BX, IMPT.BX, BRKU.BX, BRDX.BX, BIOF.BX, BATR.BX, ATBE.BX,.BETFI)

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