Category Archives: Sentiment Indices Romania

The global sentiment

There is not many conventional ways to explain why a small eastern European Country sentiment can have a bearing on the global sentiment. It was the Romanian Sentiment Review with it’s valued survey respondents (we thank you again) that held the key to global sentiment. This is what the survey readings mentioned on 13 April [...]
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Romanian Sentiment Review - The Lucky Analyst

This will not be the first time we will hear, or overhear that analysts at Orpheus just got lucky. We got you the Mar 2009 low when the markets were reeling under negative contagion and we got you the top with the current ongoing fall in May 2010 and now if you say that we [...]
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Romanian Sentiment Review - The Rational Extreme

George Soros has been recently quoted saying that “Buying at the start of a bubble is rational”. This is an open ended statement. It does not define a bubble, the degree of the bubble, the potential appreciation on Gold and of course the time George Soros might want to hold Gold. George Soros might have [...]
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Romanian Sentiment Review - The March Reversal

Last year when we talked about the March reversal, the comments from many on the internet called it a fantasy scenario. This is what we said, “When it comes to BETFI, March has a mathematical symmetry. End of March 2009 may provide a reversal.” Blog Link What happened? Markets moved up from 8000 to 30,000, [...]
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Romanian Sentiment Review - Revisiting 30 billion euros

The Romanian capital markets were valued at 30 billion Euros in the best of times in July 2007. Then nobody wanted to believe crisis could come. When it came, the market found reasons and people to blame. The crisis came and washed value by 90% taking the valuation figure to 6 billion Euros. Again no [...]
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Romanian Sentiment Review - Long Bears, Short Bulls

If we had to make a trading system from the Romanian Sentiment Index, it would be like this. Extreme high readings would be time to go Long Bears and Short Bulls and extreme low readings would suggest the opposite. The current readings of RSR have reached historical extremes and this means that it is time [...]
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Romanian Sentiment Review - Dubai vs. Bucharest

What works will always be debated because emotions don’t even leave us when we analyze forecasts. We have doing RSR (Romanian Sentiment Review) for more than a year and it continues to surprise us how a simple survey can be so powerful. Accountability is never 100% and the best global researchers have delivered 34% accuracy. [...]
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Romanian Sentiment Review: Back to May HIGHS

The anticipated negative case on BETFI happened. This is what we said in 13 Oct RSR “Over the 6 months the RSR readings are still near or at positive extremes. We continue to look for lower prices in Oct. Whether it’s just a few weeks or negativity till end of year is tough to say [...]
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ROMANIAN AD LINE IS NEGATIVE

05.11.09 - 10:34 MARKET CAP VS A-D LINE This is the market capitalization line vs Advance Decline line. AD line is a breadth indicator, which suggests the number of new highs vs new lows. The higher the line, the stronger the broad market confirmation, the lower the line the more negative the breadth or broad [...]
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Romanian Sentiment Review - Sentiment and market breadth - Oct remains negative

Sentiment studies can be based on surveys like we do it in RSR. Breadth indicators like Advance- Decline lines are based on number of new advances and new declines. On one hand they may look very different derived from two different time series, but the reality is different. Both of the indicators i.e. sentiment and [...]
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